چشم انداز جهاني نفت 2010 - World Oil Outlook 2010
(1390/8/26) - بانک داده هاي انرژي جهان - بدون دسته بندي

OPEC 2010 - 9Mb

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Section One

Oil supply and demand outlook to 2030

Chapter 1 World energy trends: overview of the Reference Case 21

Main assumptions 21

Energy demand 46

Oil demand 60

Oil supply 68

Upstream investment 75

CO2 emissions 76

Oil demand projections have been falling 78

Chapter 2 Oil demand by sector 81

Road transportation 81

Aviation 94

Other transportation: domestic waterways and rail 96

Other sectors 97

Demand by product 112

Chapter 3 Oil supply 117

Medium-term non-OPEC crude and NGLs 117

Long-term non-OPEC crude and NGLs 123

Non-conventional oil (excluding biofuels) 134

Biofuels 136

OPEC upstream investment activity 138

Chapter 4 Upstream challenges 139

Making appropriate investment decisions in the face of supply,

demand and price uncertainties 139

Oil as a financial asset 145

Costs remain high 146

Human resources 147

Technology and R&D 148

Sustainable development 149

Dialogue and cooperation 150

Section Two

Oil downstream outlook to 2030

Chapter 5 Distillation capacity requirements 155

Assessment of refining capacity expansion review of

existing projects 156

Medium-term outlook 171

Long-term distillation capacity outlook 177

Chapter 6 Conversion and desulphurization capacity requirements 185

Crude quality 185

Refined products quality developments 189

Capacity requirements 195

Crude and product pricing and differentials 206

Chapter 7 Downstream investment requirements 211

Chapter 8 Oil movements 215

Crude oil 216

Oil products 220

Tanker capacity requirements 225

Chapter 9 Downstream challenges 231

A new downstream outlook 231

Decline in market share 231

Capacity competition expansion or closure 232

Distillate benefit; gasoline bust? 233

Demand and technology responses 233

Refining investments: risks and rewards 234

Energy and climate change policy impacts 235

Footnotes 246

Annex A 250

Abbreviations

Annex B 258

OPEC World Energy Model (OWEM): definitions of regions

Annex C 266

World Oil Refining Logistics Demand (WORLD) model: definitions of regions

Annex D 274

Major data sources

 

 

نويسندگان متعدد
شرکت مشاوران انرژي و اقتصاد شايگان



اقتصاد اقتصاد انرژِي مديريت انرژي هاي تجديد پذير نفت و گاز
ایمیل: fsharbafian@energyseec.com
وب سایت: www.energyseec.com
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يکشنبه 22 تير 1399
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نام کاربري:
کلمه عبور:
عضوبت و استفاده از خدمات سايت
عضويت در کنسرسيوم

 


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